Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Eller 52.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
52.8% (742)
-3.8%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
67.6% (34)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
46.2% (156)
+2.9%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
50.8% (319)
54.5% (448)
Away
48.7% (228)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
53.4%
52.8%
P2
47.4%
50.9%
P3
50.0%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.9%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |