Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Eller 51.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 70.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudreau
Eller
Last 7: Gaudreau 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Gaudreau
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Gaudreau
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.8% (650)
-3.6%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
69.2% (13)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
45.5% (88)
+0.5%
On power play, Eller has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
47.1% (546)
52.6% (340)
Away
49.4% (551)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
46.8%
52.4%
P2
46.8%
54.1%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |