Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 61.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Gaudreau
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Gaudreau
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
53.8% (865)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
57.1% (21)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
52.6% (137)
-2.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
51.1% (507)
56.4% (486)
Away
47.4% (508)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
49.4%
55.1%
P2
47.4%
55.3%
P3
51.2%
51.7%
OT
46.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.3%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |