Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs Eller 56.2% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 65.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
57.2% (306)
-11.2%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
77.8% (9)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
60.0% (35)
-28.2%
On power play, Eller has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
42.9% (217)
52.7% (150)
Away
42.6% (195)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
44.2%
54.1%
P2
44.4%
59.6%
P3
39.4%
59.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |