Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Eller 55.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 73.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 65.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
56.0% (459)
-11.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
77.8% (9)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
51.9% (54)
-13.9%
On power play, Eller has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
42.6% (277)
52.6% (215)
Away
43.1% (288)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
44.1%
54.1%
P2
44.7%
57.6%
P3
39.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |