Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.5%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Tavares 54.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Larkin
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Larkin
Tavares
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
7
Larkin
Tavares
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
5
Larkin
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Larkin
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
53.0% (1,201)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
61.5% (262)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
53.8% (65)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Larkin
Tavares
Home
55.8% (805)
57.5% (762)
Away
53.2% (782)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Larkin
Tavares
P1
55.2%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
53.2%
P3
55.1%
55.5%
OT
51.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.5%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |