Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Norris
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
56.1% (690)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
45.9% (109)
+1.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Norris
O'Reilly
Home
62.2% (37)
58.3% (408)
Away
50.0% (20)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Norris
O'Reilly
P1
64.3%
57.7%
P2
59.1%
54.8%
P3
52.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
57.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.8%