Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.4% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 50.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Norris
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (203)
54.6% (669)
-4.4%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
57.3% (171)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
56.3% (87)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Norris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Norris shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Norris
O'Reilly
Home
44.3% (115)
56.4% (486)
Away
53.4% (131)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Norris
O'Reilly
P1
52.1%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
53.4%
P3
45.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%