Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 69.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Norris
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
56.2% (983)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
55.5% (254)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
52.0% (102)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Norris
O'Reilly
Home
53.6% (373)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.1% (394)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Norris
O'Reilly
P1
61.8%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
55.5%
P3
49.8%
57.1%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%