Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 85.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 70.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Frost
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Frost
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
62.1% (356)
-11.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
75.0% (4)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
38.7% (62)
+11.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Frost
Sturm
Home
50.7% (489)
61.8% (191)
Away
51.7% (544)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Frost
Sturm
P1
53.6%
58.0%
P2
47.8%
57.9%
P3
52.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |