Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+19.7%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 74.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 80.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Sturm
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
36.7% (30)
+17.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
28.6% (7)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Sturm
Buchnevich
Home
54.0% (287)
31.3% (16)
Away
52.0% (302)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Sturm
Buchnevich
P1
53.5%
35.7%
P2
51.0%
33.3%
P3
55.1%
30.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
53.0%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%