Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Sturm
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sturm
Buchnevich
Last 5: Sturm 2-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Sturm
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Sturm
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
37.6% (197)
+23.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (6)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
0.0% (3)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Sturm
Buchnevich
Home
61.6% (451)
43.0% (114)
Away
58.2% (376)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Sturm
Buchnevich
P1
55.9%
40.0%
P2
58.9%
35.7%
P3
64.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
60.1%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |