Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+21.5%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 73.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 68.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Sturm
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
37.0% (211)
+25.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (10)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
28.6% (7)
+10.1%
On even strength, Sturm has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Sturm
Buchnevich
Home
61.8% (191)
35.6% (87)
Away
56.3% (231)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Sturm
Buchnevich
P1
58.0%
36.3%
P2
57.9%
37.6%
P3
60.6%
38.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
37.3%