Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 77.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sturm
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
41.0% (78)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (74)
20.0% (5)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Sturm shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Sturm
Buchnevich
Home
54.4% (149)
40.0% (60)
Away
56.3% (158)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Sturm
Buchnevich
P1
57.1%
38.1%
P2
55.0%
30.8%
P3
53.7%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%