Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 63.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
46.5% (690)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
41.7% (12)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
38.4% (138)
+4.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.0% (641)
47.7% (405)
Away
44.1% (605)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.2%
49.4%
P2
48.1%
43.0%
P3
46.9%
43.7%
OT
42.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |